Economic Development Futures Journal

Thursday, May 25, 2006

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Are Traditional Retirements a Thing of the Past?

Think you will retire without working? Think again. Here is an interesting BLS research paper.

The paper investigates whether permanent, one-time retirements are coming to an end just as the trend towards earlier and earlier retirements did nearly 20 years ago. It explores how common bridge jobs are among today’s retirees, and how uncommon traditional retirements have become.

Methods: Using data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), the researchers explore the work histories and retirement patterns of a cohort of retirees aged 51 to 61 in 1992 over a ten-year time period in both a cross-sectional and longitudinal context. Bridge job determinants are examined using bivariate comparisons and a multinomial logistic regression model of the bridge job decision.

Results: They find that one-half to two-thirds of the HRS respondents with full-time career jobs take on bridge jobs before exiting the labor force completely. They also find that bridge job behavior is most common among younger respondents, respondents without defined-benefit pension plans, and respondents at the lower- and upper-end of the wage distribution. Implications: The evidence suggests that changes in the retirement income landscape since the 1980s appear to be taking root. Going forward, traditional retirements will be the exception rather than the rule.

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